Sociological study of factors affecting the state of hope for the future (Case study: Suburbs of Ahvaz metropolis)

Document Type : علمی وپزوهشی

Authors

1 Department of Social Sciences, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz. Ahvaz Iran.

2 Department of Social Science Education, Farhangian University, PO Box 889-14665, Tehran, Iran.

10.22059/jsr.2024.321496.1634

Abstract

Hope for the future is a psychological desire that strives to achieve the goals and ideals that are accessible to all, and provides them with dependence on independence, moving towards the future and strengthening social and individual identity. The aim of this study was to determine the level of hope for the future and the factors affecting it among the suburbs of Ahvaz. The article was conducted by survey method using a questionnaire and interview technique. The statistical population includes marginalized people (both men and women) living in the city of Ahvaz in 1398. The sample size was selected using Cochran's formula equal to 384 and the samples were selected by simple multi-stage cluster sampling. Descriptive results show that marginalized people at a low to moderate level (35.7%) have hope for the future. The results of correlation test show that all independent variables (social welfare, life satisfaction, relative deprivation and spiritual well-being) have a significant relationship with hope for the future. Regression results indicate that among the independent variables, the social welfare variable with a beta value of 46 / 0 and the spiritual well-being variable with a beta value of 0.31 had the largest share in explaining the dependent variable of hope for the future. Also, the prediction equation of the amount of hope for the future can explain 34.5% of the variance of the dependent variable of the future.

Keywords